Bennelong by-election: Liberal John Alexander will win Bennelong by-election, Antony Green predicts

Opposition Leader Bill Shorten and Labor candidate Kristina Keneally speak with Nikita Salkavich at East Ryde Public School

Bennelong by-election: Liberal John Alexander will win Bennelong by-election, Antony Green predicts

Early counting in the crucial Bennelong by-election is showing a swing against the Liberal party's John Alexander, but not enough for Labor to win the seat.

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull's one-seat majority in the lower house hangs in the balance as voters head to the polls in the Bennelong by-election.

Mr Alexander has comfortably been returned as the local member for the federal seat, but suffered a swing of about five percent.

Treasurer Scott Morrison, Defence Industry Minister Christopher Pyne and Defence Minister Marise Payne were out supporting Liberal candidate John Alexander in the northwestern suburban electorate.

"If Labor does not do well - and early results indicate that is the case - then Bill Shorten will be under a great deal of pressure because it would prove he is toxic in the electorate".

"There has never been a more important vote in Bennelong", she told reporters.

Mr Alexander had a comfortable margin of 9.7 per cent margin after the 2016 general election.

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"No, it is definitely not", tweeted Graeme Innes, the former Disability Discrimination Commissioner, in response to a comment that Mr Alexander's comment would not go down well.

The by-election was triggered by the resignation of Mr Alexander, who quit after being caught up in the Parliamentary citizenship saga.

Addressing Liberal Party faithful, Malcolm Turnbull says the government's win can't be taken for granted.

A loss in Bennelong on Saturday would leave the government with 75 seats, meaning Mr Turnbull would no longer have a one-seat majority in the House of Representatives. But it would still be able to govern with crossbencher Cathy McGowan guaranteeing confidence and supply.

He says the electorate clearly recognised the government's achievements.

Mr Shorten, who joined Ms Keneally at Ryde East Public School, said the election was an opportunity to send the Turnbull government a message.

"I don't want Mr Turnbull quoting Chairman Mao, and misquoting him, I want him fixing schools and hospitals".

Mr Turnbull acknowledged it was a "very, very close contest" when he and Liberal candidate John Alexander met with voters at Gladesville Public School.

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