Oil prices retreat as data point to continued gains in USA output

Oil prices stable after two-day decline but rising U.S. output drags

U.S. crude production pushed up largely by shale oil drilling is expected to rise above 11 million bpd by late 2018. Image source Reuters

West Texas Intermediate, the USA marker, is now near $62 a barrel.

Brent crude, the benchmark for more than half the world's oil, traded at $65.07 a barrel at 10:11 a.m.in London on Monday, compared with about $45 in June.

However, if predictions from Warren Patterson, a commodities strategist at ING Groep NV, prove accurate, Iran has nothing to worry about: because US activity is angering OPEC allies to the degree they will soon abandon the cartel's production cutback deal, pump all out, and drive prices back down again.

Oil prices settled with a loss on Monday (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-pull-back-from-strong-finish-last-week-as-market-renews-us-supply-watch-2018-03-12), giving back part of the sharp gains seen in the previous session as recent data showed a rise in weekly USA output, as well as expectations for a further increase in domestic production next month.

Both crude benchmarks dropped by around one per cent the previous session.

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Investors are weighing increased US supply against the likelihood that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will maintain supply cuts that have been in effect more than a year. Some of that early slide was probably profit-taking after a rise on Friday, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates.

"Oil prices fell on the back of concerns that surging United States production. could push inventories in the U.S. higher", ANZ bank said on Tuesday.

U. S. Stocks closed mixed, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average ending in the red, while the Nasdaq Composite added about 28 points. S. crude fell as much as 2.21 percent. That is not far off the 2.957 percent yield on February 21, the highest since the instrument yielded more than 3 percent in January 2014. "They continue to give market share away to the U.S".

Wall Street's main indexes closed up almost 2 percent on Friday on the strength of the jobs report, and have almost reversed declines in recent weeks when investors feared that higher wages might lead to price pressures.

MSCI's world equity index . The dollar index fell 0.05 percent, with the euro up 0.06 percent to $1.2312. A stronger dollar would likely dent oil prices.

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