Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

"Not only are New Jersey Democrats doing better on the generic House ballot statewide, but the shift is coming nearly entirely from districts now held by the GOP", Murray said.

In the five House seats now held by a Republican, voter preference is split 46 percent for the GOP candidate and 44 percent for the Democrat, according to the poll.

Even more significantly for Democratic fortunes, the poll finds the overall swing is coming mainly from GOP-held seats.

According to a new survey published by left-leaning ABC News, generic Republican candidates trail their Democratic opponents by a margin of 49% to 44%; largely slashing double-digit liberal gains from months ago. In January, by contrast, Democrats held similar margins in all three groups - 13, 12 and 15 points, respectively.

From the past two House elections, such five districts were solidly red, averaging a 22-point gain for Republicans.

If the result holds in November, it could spell trouble for the five Republican representatives in the state.

Under Mr. Trump, deficit reduction and spending restraint have taken a back seat to the GOP's push to cut taxes and its support for a bipartisan budget deal that raised defense and domestic spending.

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Fifty-four percent of those who approve of Trump are looking for a candidate who agrees with them, a similar share to the 53 percent disapproving of Trump who say the same; the difference is that those who disapprove of the president outnumber those who approve by 10 points among registered voters.

An NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll ran April 811 - exactly the exact time frame while the Post-ABC poll - found a 7-point advantage while in the generic congressional ballot for Democrats, right down from a 10-point border in March.

The tax law is expected to cut taxes for most Americans but will sharply increase budget deficits, according to projections by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

The poll's vote share in the seven seats now held by Democrats - a 31 percentage point gap - is in line with the average 30-point advantage Democrats held in these districts in both 2016 and 2014. Only 35 percent of voters surveyed favor the law, which raises taxes on gasoline and diesel and hikes vehicle registration fees to fix roads and highways. Just 19 percent expect their taxes to go down, while another 25 percent think there will be no impact.

"Most New Jerseyans feel like they've ended up with the short end of the stick from these tax reforms". "That's what makes this plan a particularly tough sell for Republican House candidates here".

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone April 8-11, 2018, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults and 865 registered voters.

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