Computer models, also referred to as spaghetti models, are in general agreement that Tropical Depression 2 will continue on a west-northwest track over the next several days towards the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola.
Typical of small tropical cyclones, however, it could gain just enough intensity to become Tropical Storm Beryl. This system appears to be less organized, the center said, and the chances for a tropical depression to form are diminishing.
The depression was located about 1,385 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles and was moving west at 16 mph.
Satellite imagery indicates convection has persisted, and enough evidence of surface low pressure existed such that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Two late Thursday morning. Forecasters say the system is not expected to pose a threat for South Louisiana.
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There is no indication either one will form into a hurricane, much less one that will strike Florida, according to the hurricane center. But forecasters said it could strengthen as it moves east, away from the USA coast. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable in a few days, and the depression is expected to weaken to a trough of low pressure before it reaches the Lesser Antilles.
However, the disturbance is expected to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development.
A second system a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda remained disorganized Thursday morning.
The average hurricane season hurricane season sees 12 named storms and six hurricanes and Colorado State predicted an above-averge season with 14 named storms and seven hurricanes in April.