Tropical Wave Update for Sebastian, Vero Beach

USVI In Path Of New Weather System; Tropical Cyclone Development Possible By Midweek -

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER: New Storm Forming in Atlantic, Could Be Headed for Florida |

A large cluster of rainstorms and clouds a couple hundred miles east of the Caribbean Sea has a decreased chance of developing into a late-season tropical system, according to the National Hurricane Center.

If this were to become a named storm, it would be called Patty.

An area of disturbed weather, known as a tropical wave, is churning toward the Lesser Antilles and being monitored to potentially become the next organized system in the Atlantic Basin. It could become a cyclone by the middle of the week, stated Stacy Stewart, one of the Center's hurricane specialists.

But that possibility is less and less likely, forecasters said Monday in a 7 p.m. storm advisory.

"It hasn't even really developed into anything yet", McMichael said."Conditions are becoming more favorable for something to develop". The NHC gave the system a 20 percent chance of development through Monday, but a 70 percent chance within five days.

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Though it's still early to know whether the storm threatens South Florida, the service noted a high chance of rain and riptides for much of the week.

The Atlantic hurricane season ends November 30.

On the other hand, odds would be against development if the system maintains a more westward track over the mountainous islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

Most of the models show the tropical wave remaining east of the United States.

Alberto formed before the season's official beginning on June 1, making it the fourth year in a row with a storm before the season's official start on June 1.

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