The snow will taper off to flurries Wednesday, Feb. 13. Despite a slightly "warmer" start, the afternoon won't be much warmer: highs stay in the upper 40s and lower 50s again. We are also tracking a wintry mix moving in form the south and west that could bring some freezing rain to areas this morning as well, so be cautious on the roadways.
"Another 0.5" to 1.0" of rain is likely early Tuesday morning, and then it's drier again for Wednesday and Thursday. Heavy, wet snow will continue to fall through the rest of Monday evening. Snow and ice pellets are expected in the region after midnight Monday.
A stronger storm system brings a cold front into Alabama and Tennessee Monday night.
Tuesday: Snow. Moderate snow accumulation.
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The best chance for seeing enough freezing rain to create a glaze of ice is across northern and western Virginia, where a winter weather advisory is in effect into Monday morning. The upper levels of the atmosphere will be warming, but temperatures at the surface will still be below freezing.
Freezing rain shut everything down. Any ice accumulation is risky and will create an absolute nightmare on the roads. There is a low chance for snow, but some sleet and freezing rain may occur.
Soil and road temperatures are running in the 40s, so there shouldn't be major issues.